
What was once relatively unlikely, now seems to be almost a sure thing - barring some unforeseen ostrich poaching - Randy Johnson will win his 300th game. And what a milestone it is, because Johnson will probably be the last pitcher to EVER DO IT.
Yes, I am fully aware that every time this statement is said in relation to some sports record, the record is immediately broken, and the person who voiced it is taken away to the Gulag and bludgeoned to death with a cane. But fuck that. This shit isn't happening -
ever again. Not ever. Especially not in this age of pussy managers pulling their pitchers after a hundred pitches. We have evolved! We have grown bigger and stronger! If 5'2'' Sandy Koufax could take the mound every fourth day and toss 200+ pitches, so can everyone else!
The 300 career win milestone may disappear soon, and sooner than you think. Only four active players currently have more than 200 wins (Pedro with 214, is not active, so fuck off) - Randy Johnson: 299, Jaime Moyer: 249, Andy Pettitte: 219, and John Smoltz: 210. Out of these players, only Pettitte is under 40 years of age (36).
And believe it or not, there are many people and fans out there that tend to think that some dominate active pitchers will hit the 300 win plateau, no matter what age said player is, not matter what limitations said player faces, and no matter what the
real experts predict. Well, all you happy-go-lucky believers out there, here's some advice: don't hold your breath. Actually, on second though, do, because it will afford humanity a few less assholes to support.
Here's a list of players who have an "outside" shot at 300. And by "outside" I mean "no". To make things fair, I'm putting them all on the same career path: We will assume that each pitcher will be a starting pitcher until they're 42.
The Cagey VetsI'm mathematically eliminating these 35-and-under guys that are in the 130-200 win range, because it's just not happening for them: Livan Hernandez - (151), Tim Hudson (146), Barry Zito (124), Kevin Millwood (146), Jeff Suppan (131), and Javier Vasquez (131).
1. Johan Santana, 30, 116 WinsArguably the games best left-handed pitcher, Santana has consistently reeled off double-digit win seasons since moving into the Twins rotation full-time in 2003. But, in order to get to 300 wins, with 12 more years left, Santana must average at least 15 wins per season. Naga-naga-nagana happen.
2. CC Sabathia, 28, 121 WinsExperts tend to watch CC like NASCAR: It's only matter of time before something happens, right? Right? He's so fat! He's so big! His hat is crooked, that can't be a good sign! When is he going to lapse into a diabetic coma? Well, I don't think it will happen any time soon. Since coming into the league at 20 years old in 2001, Sabathia has yet to pitch less than 180 innings per season. He's even gone as high as 253, very rare for this day and age of 6 inning "warriors". But he still needs to average about 13 wins per season for the next fourteen seasons. That's a lot of fat jokes.
3. Roy Halladay, 32, 139 WinsDoc has the kind of pitching style that may afford him a decent shot - he's not a power pitcher and doesn't rely on a curveball, which induces serious stress on the pitching elbow. With ten seasons left, he needs to average 16.1 wins per season. It's hard to underestimate the man, but it's also hard to think he'll actually pull it off. Kind of like you and that girl you're trying to fuck. She's way out of your league. Why not go after the fatso in the corner with zero self-esteem and back tits? Hey, it could be worse...
Roy Oswalt, 31, 130 WinsEvery season, experts predict the demise of Roy Oswalt. And every season, he ends up turning things around. Last year, around this time, he was awful, having a 4-5 record and an ERA of 5.45. By September, he was chalking up his 17th victory. Don't count the guy out. No, not because he's resilient, but because
he carries a fucking gun. Seriously. Stay the fuck away from him.
The Young Guns
1. Tim Lincecum, 25, 29 WinsIt sounds minimal - 29 wins - but if he is able to keep his 5'10'' frame healthy, pitch into his early forties without any setbacks, and play on a competitive team, he will only have to average 16 wins per season...For the next 17 seasons. See what I did there?
2. Zach Greinke, 25, 42 WinsI don't what the doctors prescribed Greinke - I assume it goes something like
this - but if he has suddenly turned into the dominate pitcher he was supposed to be when the Royals drafted him, he will only need to keep his shit together and win another 258 more games! I wonder how many CVS refills is that?
3. Cole Hamels, 25, 40 WinsHamels may be crawling his way back after postseason surgery, but does he have enough to sustain a long, productive career? 260 wins left - it's daunting. And keep in mind that Hamels plays in Philly, which is the equivalent of playing in Satan's Asshole. That has to take it's toll on a man, right?